Separating uncertainty from heterogeneity in life cycle earnings
Författare:
Flavio Cunha,
Och
James Joseph "Jim" Heckman,
Och
Salvador Navarro-Lozano,
Och
Publicerad i: Oxford Economic Papers 2005, vol. 57, iss. 2, pp. 191-261
Sammanfattning av Working paper 2005:6
This paper develops and applies a method for decomposing cross section variability of
earnings into components that are forecastable at the time students decide to go to college
(heterogeneity) and components that are unforecastable. About 60% of variability in returns
to schooling is forecastable. This has important implications for using measured variability
to price risk and predict college attendance.
JEL Codes: C33, D84, I21
This paper develops and applies a method for decomposing cross section variability of earnings into components that are forecastable at the time students decide to go to college (heterogeneity) and components that are unforecastable. About 60% of variability in returns to schooling is forecastable. This has important implications for using measured variability to price risk and predict college attendance.
JEL Codes: C33, D84, I21
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